Any way, despite the 'snippy snip snip' this thread is proving interesting.
Just an aside, my last post didn't register the 'quote' as a quote, giving the impression to the uninitiated, that I organise the Southern Model Show. It is in fact Phil Knell, who does a very good job of herding us boat modellers ( like cats ) to this event every year.
This question of which show survives and which does not, is a difficult one to pin down. I have attended enough currently dead shows to, hopefully have some insight. Two which are now gone, and were both big shows, are The Weymouth International Modellers Weekend and the ( cannot remember it's name ) Shepton Mallet Show. Both shows started in fairly recent years, the last twenty that is, got big, got poor, were gone. Both shows suffered from a drop off of attendees, most noticeable at Shepton Mallet walking up to the flight line with less traders year on year, and Weymouth at the Swannery Lake, as exhibitors dropped away ( giving the Display Team more room! ) year on year. It would be fair to assume that at both events it was a slow drop off of both exhibitors, traders and more than likely visitors, that contributed to their end. So no one group to blame, more a combination creating an unrecoverable death spiral. Both events had water.. not much at Shepton Mallet, that's for sure!
So I think these events follow the typical twelve or so year birth, life and death of a number of shows. As discussed previously, some events buck that trend. Most seem to be fairly central, not too far north or south, and are well supported by the bigger marine traders. I think all the time there are boat modellers, these shows will thrive, unless run by total spanners of course!
It is the other events that will probably come and go. As mentioned Alfold has a very small number of traders in attendance, but has a great atmosphere and with its potential move into July next year, should ( should ) avoid the worst of the summer weather. Beale Park needs water wings, despite being a fish!
Sumners Ponds near Horsham is in its fourth year and is going from strength to strength. Supported by the home club of The Southwater Dabblers, and the owners of the site themselves, it is an event 'on the up'.
So, I think big shows are more likely to survive, even if they end up with tanks driving round the sites, and smaller shows just need to keep up with the trends, Sumners Ponds dedicated a whole field to quadcopter racing for a second year, and very good it was too.
The Display Team will keep doing our wizz bangs wherever we are able to, in support of shows in the south, everyone else vote with your feet, ten quid is a good price for an all day event, meeting up with fellow modellers to chew the fat, striking deals with traders for the latest gizmo, and when it all gets too much, put your feet up and watch the boats sailing around the pond ( or not! ).